Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.588145 7.264978 8.015497 8.916061 9.976230 11.195974 12.722257
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.519214 6.408015 7.475709 8.878248 10.712501 13.091681 16.523524
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.834571 5.789275 6.993877 8.671168 11.027162 14.360007 19.733467
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.411577 5.410866 6.721484 8.635060 11.490695 15.854743 23.677041
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.080675 5.101756 6.483572 8.582293 11.881596 17.285999 28.006240
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.898101 4.966051 6.457019 8.814415 12.728964 19.648899 35.108139
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.605155 4.646585 6.129079 8.533884 12.672836 20.378284 39.136029
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.346485 4.354065 5.811320 8.225855 12.509201 20.850315 42.810022
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.149492 4.135631 5.584264 8.035653 12.519583 21.669235 47.907261
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.013388 3.996383 5.465030 8.008626 12.823780 23.194579 56.209011
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.009338 4.052354 5.652057 8.525960 14.277691 27.849573 80.234389
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.936349 3.997032 5.654598 8.712977 15.094639 31.273080 105.181772
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.783563 3.818788 5.458783 8.544929 15.190316 33.010447 127.092954
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.664537 3.688445 5.336258 8.509388 15.603469 35.996126 167.247598
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.530556 3.525399 5.144564 8.314932 15.601783 37.691083 205.978629
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.435001 3.418215 5.040216 8.281011 15.988826 40.996891 284.021177
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.345395 3.315170 4.934755 8.231432 16.327429 44.392410 403.775093
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.302134 3.285552 4.956571 8.449461 17.438529 51.930190 805.004929
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.194954 3.143272 4.764566 8.185940 17.142902 52.865808 1059.642495
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.091736 3.003171 4.568661 7.896287 16.722944 53.007672 1339.011168
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.010266 2.896429 4.428286 7.717273 16.603101 54.744957 2048.559293
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.954134 2.830305 4.359332 7.691825 16.948916 59.462414 5238.138942
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.964115 2.877857 4.506518 8.178493 19.058358 78.161842 NaN